America's bloated budget and trade deficits are starting to worry top economists and bankers, with Federal Reserve chairman Ben. S. Bernanke saying yesterday he's “quite concerned” about the federal government's record revenue and spending gap.
“It would be very desirable to take concrete steps to lower the prospective path of the (budget) deficit,” Bernanke said in a March 9 letter responding to questions from Sen. Robert Menendez, a New Jersey Democrat.
“Such actions would boost national saving and ultimately the future prosperity of our country.”
The White House last month forecast a record deficit of $423 billion for this fiscal year, which ends Sept. 30.
Bernanke said he is “quite concerned about the intermediate to long-term federal budget outlook” because of projected spending on entitlement programs, which include Social Security and Medicare. Such spending will create “severe pressure” on the budget, he said.
Meanwhile, the Commerce Department yesterday reported that the nation's so-called “current account” deficit – or the trade deficit combined with investment income – was $224.9 billion in the last three months of 2005, far higher than expected.
America's total current account deficit for 2005 was about $805 billion, yet another record.
“As a country, we're just spending way more money than we have,” said Richard Vietor, a professor at Harvard Business School.
He noted that the nation's current account amounts to about 6.7 percent of the country's total output.
“Sometimes in basket-case Third World countries it's around 7 percent,” said Vietor, noting large deficits generally can create inflation pressures, which in turn can lead to higher interest rates.
Nariman Behravesh, chief economist at Global Insight, a Lexington research firm, said any trade deficit means that America is ultimately indebted to foreign countries that end up buying up American real estate, stocks and other assets.
But Behravesh said he thinks America's growing economy should be able to sustain the deficits – at least for now.
Herald wire services contributed to this report.
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